Home » Project Scorpio: Microsoft’s Fast, Fun, and Futuristic Failure

Project Scorpio: Microsoft’s Fast, Fun, and Futuristic Failure

by Izsak Barnette

A few months ago, I authored an optimistic post regarding the then-newly announced Xbox Scorpio. I wrote then about how it seemed as if the Scorpio was going to usher in a new era of modular console upgrades and of increased graphical fidelity for video games of all genres. With a spec-sheet impressive enough to make even a dyed-in-the-wool PC enthusiast swoon, the Scorpio now seems poised to launch the home console industry firmly into an era of native 4k, 60fps gaming. It’s unfortunate, however, that the Scorpio is doomed to fail.

We’ve seen this same show play out before. With the PS4 as the bold exception, consoles that push the limits of what the industry is capable of rarely if ever, succeed in “winning” the console wars. The original Xbox outperformed both the PS2 and GameCube in performance, yet the PS2’s backwards compatibility and trusted name was worth more to consumers; the PS3 towered above the humble Wii in power, yet was beaten, initially, by the latter’s unbeatable price and unrivaled accessibility. The PS3 and the original Xbox didn’t fail to capture significant market share simply because consumers were brand loyalists or hated new technology. No, it was simply that they lacked the right price and innovation.

The Scorpio’s main weakness, exacerbated by remaining backwards compatible with the original Xbox One, is the same thing I praised it for nearly a year ago: it’s awkward place in the transition between console generations. By not signaling a clear break between their third and fourth consoles, Microsoft is taking a dangerous bet on consumers’ willingness to upgrade. With most consumers simply not ready to pony up the cash necessary to fully adopt a 4K ecosystem, the Scorpio is resting dangerously on its own laurels as a 4K entertainment device. If, as Dave Thier mentions in his article for Forbes, the Scorpio cannot offer the same leap expected from generation-to-generation including improved load times, improved detail, etc., then it serves only to cater to a 4K-hungry consumer who, for the most part, doesn’t exist right now; and that’s a problem for Microsoft.

That isn’t to trivialize 4K or suggest that it isn’t the future in entertainment because it is. However, the truth remains, unless they force consumers to upgrade from Xbox One using power as an excuse or offer more incentives beyond simple resolution and framerate bumps, the Scorpio doesn’t have anything that sets it apart from it’s older brother. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild is the most recent game to light the gaming industry on fire and, yet, by the technical criteria for a AAA game in 2017, it falls woefully short, running at 900p, 30fps on a console less powerful than the computer that I am writing this on. If there’s one trait that consumers have demonstrated time after time, it’s that graphics aren’t everything. They weren’t when the Wii was released and they aren’t now. Nintendo is making a bet on that with the Switch, and it seems to be paying off, their focus on low price and innovation making them once again the talk of the industry.

Microsoft, in contrast, is betting that the exact opposite is going to be true, that, in the end, raw graphical horsepower coupled with a new Halo designed for the Scorpio will convince consumers to upgrade. However, that isn’t true. While Halo is by far Microsoft’s most well-known and beloved first party franchise, they have very little else to offer consumers as incentive to upgrade, save third party experiences that will be available on PS4, PS4 Pro, Xbox One, and possibly Switch without the need to upgrade. By not clearly breaking off compatibility and depending on raw, graphical fidelity, Microsoft risks cannibalizing their own sales.

That isn’t to say that the Xbox Scorpio is an unimpressive cash-grab. For a console, its specs are truly mind-boggling. It has more bandwidth than Nvidia’s $499 GTX 1080 graphics card and, with closer, bare-to-the-metal control of the hardware, is sure to efficiently use every ounce of that power to generate experiences that look amazing in crystal clear 4K. It will significantly outperform not only the PS4, but also the PS4 Pro in pure pixel-pushing power, becoming the most powerful console to ever exist in the process.

In an era when the industry is focusing less and less on power, when indie games are as popular as ever, and when the most popular game of the day runs on a glorified tablet’s system-on-a-chip, Microsoft’s focus on graphical fidelity seems not only unnecessary but also naive. Microsoft should understand that, in a world dominated by low-fidelity mobile gaming and standard HD screens, framerate and resolution matter little without new titles to sell consumers on the hardware. The success of a product, as well as of a business, is built off of how well the consumer understands their need for it. By not making clear the disconnect between the Xbox One and the Scorpio and by emphasizing graphical fidelity during a time period where it may well be the least important marker of a game’s success, Microsoft is setting up the Scorpio to be a fast, fun, and futuristic failure; a console designed for a consumer base that simply doesn’t exist.

34 comments

Ricky D April 13, 2017 - 9:15 pm

I think it’s time I weigh in and offer some feedback.

The first problem with this article is the headline which is why I recommended you change it. While I don’t feel it falls under the category of clickbait, it is inflammatory and so it shouldn’t be a surprise that there are angry comments posted here and over at N4G. Not that I am blaming you for the actions of these angry commenters but the headline isn’t helping you or the website in any way because people who see that headline jump straight to the comments and don’t even bother reading the article.

As for the article itself, have some issues with it. For starters, in the first paragraph you write:

“It’s unfortunate, however, that the Scorpio is doomed to fail.”

How can you say this? You can’t see into the future. It could have easily been rewritten to say:

“It’s unfortunate, however, that the Scorpio may not be the success Microsoft hopes it will be.”

It’s a small change but it makes a huge difference in my book because it would be addressing your opinion/prediction without stating this is a fact.

I also disagree with this statement:

“The PS3 and the original Xbox didn’t fail to capture significant market share”

This is factually incorrect.

You also say that 4K-hungry consumers don’t exist right now, but they do. Again, factually incorrect. Sure there might not be as many consumers who can afford to buy the Scorpio as there are consumers who can buy a cheaper console, but your statement is written in a way in which you claim there is not one person on this planet that will be interested in this product. Again, factually incorrect.

You follow this up by saying that Microsoft can’t convince consumers to upgrade. Again, how do you know this? Do you have a crystal ball that sees into the future?

Although I have no interest in buying the Scorpio I am glad it exists much like how I love it when Nintendo experiments with their products even if they aren’t always a commercial success. The industry needs to continue to produce innovating new products and the industry needs to continue to push themselves to improve on previous generations of consoles. The Panasonic 3DO was a commercial disaster but I sure am glad it exists because every single one of these products has in some way helped the industry move forward.

And finally, you end the article by saying:

“Microsoft is setting up the Scorpio to be a fast, fun, and futuristic failure; a console designed for a consumer base that simply doesn’t exist.”

I would argue based on the comments left on this post alone, that there are consumers who are interested in the Scorpio.

I think the idea behind the article is interesting but the article itself is problematic in so many ways. One small word can completely change the meaning of your entire piece and quite frankly, the choice of wording throughout the entire article is a huge problem as evidenced by the feedback.

Ricky

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Mr Xrat April 15, 2017 - 5:29 am

Xgimps lashing out at reality again.

Shitpio just doesn’t cut the mustard, Xgimps. Better luck next gen.

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